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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348549
cost of holding inventories. Both channels have equilibrium effects that are amplified and propagated over time through … inventories, which serve as a way to both smooth production and facilitate greater sales at a given price. Through the estimation … played by inventories. A temporary 100 basis point increase in both interest rates causes vehicle production to fall 12 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460625
cost of holding inventories. Both channels have equilibrium effects that are amplified and propagated over time through … inventories, which serve as a way to both smooth production and facilitate greater sales at a given price. Through the estimation … played by inventories. A temporary 100 basis-point increase in both interest rates causes vehicle production to fall 12 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014290
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011
In this paper, we assess whether key relations between US interest rates have been stable over time. This is done by estimating trivariate hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR models with stochastic volatility for the three-month Treasury bill rate, the slope of the Treasury yield curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490330
We show that firms' nominal required returns to capital (i.e., their discount rates) are sticky with respect to expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real discount rates and thereby raise real investment. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
The paper investigates the impact of foreign currency lending in the Hungarian corporate sector on real investment. Using a rich micro dataset we consider two questions. First we test whether foreign currency (FX) lending – by lowering user cost and easing liquidity constraints – contributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243971
Optimal investment of firms implies that expected stock returns are tied with the expected marginal benefit of investment divided by the marginal cost of investment. Winners have higher expected growth and expected marginal productivity (two major components of the marginal benefit of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132883
Q-theory predicts that investment frictions steepen the relation between expected returns and firm investment. Using … constrained firms. There is no evidence that q-theory with investment frictions explains the investment growth, net stock issues …, abnormal corporate investment, or net operating assets anomalies. Limits-to-arbitrage proxies dominate q-theory with investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133882