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This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349
We provide a comprehensive analysis of the determinants of trading in the sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) market, using weekly data for single-name sovereign CDS from October 2008 to September 2015. We describe the anatomy of the sovereign CDS market, derive a law of motion for gross...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541398
Correlated defaults and systemic risk are clearly priced in credit portfolio securities such as CDOs or index CDSs. In this paper we study an extensive CDX data set for evidence whether correlated defaults are also present in the underlying CDS market. We develop a cash flow based top-down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010405475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298504
In this paper, I analyze credit risk premia embedded in sovereign CDS spreads. In particular, I consider a heretofore largely ignored component that reflects the compensation investors demand for default event risk. I find that this default event risk premium is most heavily priced in short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920738
This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and … trigger rises in bond spreads, and the relative efficiency of credit risk pricing in the CDS and bond markets. In addition, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175748
Changes in collateralization have been implicated in significant default (or near-default) events during the financial crisis, most notably with AIG. We have developed a framework for quantifying this effect based on moving between Merton-type and Black-Cox-type structural default models. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087656
European banks are exposed to a substantial amount of risky sovereign debt. The "missing bank capital" resulting from the zero-risk weight exemption for European banks for European sovereign debt amplifies the co-movement between sovereign CDS spreads and facilitates cross-border...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764975
Relying on a perspective borrowed from monetary policy announcements and introducing an econometric twist in the traditional event study analysis, we document the existence of an "event risk transfer", namely a significant credit risk transmission from the sovereign to the corporate sector after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391043
I study the term structure of credit default swap spreads to understand the dynamics of global and country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938644