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We present a new procedure for detecting multiple additive outliers in GARCH(1,1) models at unknown dates. The outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325338
We present a new procedure for detecting multiple additive outliers in GARCH(1,1) models at unknown dates. The outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144394
We present a new procedure for detecting multiple additive outliers in GARCH(1,1) models at unknown dates. The outlier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257361
resistant to patches of additive outliers. The data span two samples of 5 years ranging from 1986 to 1995. Using asymptotic … arguments and Monte Carlo simulations, in which we evaluate our empirical method, we show that patches of outliers can have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284080
We elaborate on a new distributional scheme resulting from the generalized Pearson distribution with application to financial modelling. As case studies we consider the major historical indices daily returns, DJIA, NASDAQ composite, FTSE100, CAC40, DAX and S&P500, as well as, high-frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077936
In this paper, we propose a general family of Birnbaum–Saunders autoregressive conditional duration (BS-ACD) models based on generalized Birnbaum-Saunders (GBS) distributions, denoted by GBS-ACD. We further generalize these GBS-ACD models by using a Box-Cox transformation with a shape parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174138
This paper shows that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that are conditional on current information are statistically superior to individual models, (unconditional) combinations, and hybrid forecasts. Hence, it finds empirical evidence that both, combining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720373
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
The crumble of financial markets due to the recent crises has wobbled precariousness in the stock market and intensified the returns vulnerability of banking indices. Against this backdrop, this study intends to model the volatility of the Indian Bank Nifty returns using a battery of GARCH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351495
The paper advances the log-generalized gamma distribution as a suitable generator of conditional skewness. Based on the NYSE composite daily returns an asMA-asQGARCH model along with skewness dynamics is estimated. The results indicate a skewness that varies between sizeable negative skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398115