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We propose a new decomposition of the variance risk premium (VRP) in terms of upside and downside VRPs. These components reflect market compensation for changes in good and bad uncertainties. Empirically, we establish that the downside VRP is the main component of the VRP. We find a positive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972172
This paper provides novel insights into the dynamic properties of variance and semivariance premia. Considering nine international stock market indices, we find consistent evidence of significantly negative total and downside (semi)variance premia of around -15 bps per month. These premia almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852171
We propose a new decomposition of the variance risk premium in terms of upside and downside variance risk premia. The difference between upside and downside variance risk premia is a measure of skewness risk premium. We establish that the downside variance risk premium is the main component of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024077
across several estimation methods. Panel Granger causality test results indicate that there indeed is a Granger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242861
A prominent factor used in most models predicting stock returns is firm size. Yet no consensus has emerged on the magnitude and stability of the size premium, with some researchers even questioning the usefulness of the factor. To take stock of the voluminous academic literature on the size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716607
We merge the literature on downside return risk and liquidity risk and introduce the concept of extreme downside liquidity (EDL) risks. The cross-section of stock returns reflects a premium if a stock's return (liquidity) is lowest at the same time when the market liquidity (return) is lowest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175486
This paper presents an innovative approach to extracting factors which are shown to predict the VIX, the S&P 500 Realized Volatility and the Variance Risk Premium. The approach is innovative along two different dimensions, namely: (1) we extract factors from panels of filtered volatilities - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045628
simple capital asset-pricing model in Japan. -- Risk premium puzzle ; nonexpected utility ; CAPM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981977
This chapter presents historical evidence about Swedish stock prices, dividends, and yields on government fixed-interest securities. Monthly returns are presented since 1901 for stocks, since 1874 for government long-term bonds and since 1856 for short-term Treasury bills or central bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360953
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781