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in principle less restrictive approach is applied to operationalising expectations. Direct measures of inflation … expectations, ie OECD forecasts, are used as empirical proxies of economic agents’ inflation expectations. The main interest is in … the euro area as a whole, although potential heterogeneity of inflation dynamics is also examined across eleven EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648890
inflation and unemployment. Lately there have been several studies which claim that the slope of the Phillips curve is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649054
inflation and unemployment. Lately there have been several studies which claim that the slope of the Phillips curve is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649126
imposing rational expectations, direct measures, ie OECD forecasts, are used to proxy economic agents’ inflation expectations … Classical and Hybrid Phillips curves. We interpret our results as indicating that the European inflation process is not purely … forward-looking, so that inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to new information. Consequently, even allowing for possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774211
The present study examines empirically the inflation dynamics of the euro area. The focus of the analysis is on the … role of expectations in the inflation process. In six articles we relax rationality assumption and proxy expectations … curve specifications and find evidence that inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to changes in expectations. A possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774215
the monthly inflation rate in Turkey for the period of 1987-2004. The results show that the Turkish Phillips curve is not … linear. There exists no evidence on the asymmetry in the inflation response to output gap. The persistence of inflation is … found to be much lower than in linear models. After 2001 slight decline in persistence of inflation is observed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005730906
Estimates of the NAIRU are usually derived either from a Phillips curve or from a wage curve. This paper investigates the correspondence between the operational NAIRU-concepts and the steady state of a dynamic wage-price model. We derive the parameter restrictions that secure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005573916
This paper examines the role of inflation expectations in Solomon Islands, a Pacific Island Country, using the Hybrid … matter for inflation. Fuel prices and output gap are important indicators of current inflation. The study highlights key … through effect onto domestic prices. Studies on the role of inflation expectations in small, open, economies of the Pacific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628568
During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are … sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030043
In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative … relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969