Turgeon, Mathieu; Rennó, Lucio - In: International Journal of Forecasting 28 (2012) 4, pp. 804-812
The use of election forecasting models is common practice in the US and other established democracies like France and the UK. However, not much work has been done in the area for more recent democracies. Forecasting election results in recently (re)democratized countries poses a serious...