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. To evaluate ex-ante forecasting performance for particular rates, different forecast features such as mean squared errors …-ante forecasting ; EURIBOR swap rates ; term structure ; directional accuracy ; big hit ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636128
forecasting content by means of trading implied cash flows. Empirical evidence suggests that the proposed strategy is neither … specifications. -- Model selection ; principal components ; factor analysis ; exante forecasting ; EURIBOR swap term structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770821
In this paper, we examine the forecasting ability of an affine term structure framework that jointly models the markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421729
. The proposed forecasting strategy produces the lowest errors across all times to maturity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378719
This research investigates the macro factors for forecasting (1) bond risk premia and (2) term structure of government … method, in forecasting accuracy. Although we find there is no significant difference in forecasting performance between BMA … further improve the other method's forecasting performance. The performance of using BMA to forecast bond excess return is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113732
forecasting performance, the proposed factor model of the yield curve exhibits substantial incremental predictive value. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160052
In this paper, we examine the forecasting ability of an affine term structure framework that jointly models the markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970064
. The proposed forecasting strategy produces the lowest errors across all times to maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024184
stateof-the-art approximation methods are either too time consuming, or not precise enough for estimation and forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931197
The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053243