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We estimate output growth rate spectra for 58 countries. The spectra exhibit diverse shapes. To study the sources of this diversity, we estimate the short-run, business cycle, and long-run frequency components of the sampled series. For most OECD countries the bulk of the spectral mass is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090858
We estimate output growth rate spectra for 58 countries. The spectra exhibit diverse shapes. To study the sources of this diversity, we estimate the short-run, business cycle, and long-run frequency components of the sampled series. For most OECD countries the bulk of the spectral mass is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526365
We estimate output growth rate spectra for 58 countries. The spectra exhibit diverse shapes. To study the sources of this diversity, we estimate the short-run, business cycle, and long-run frequency components of the sampled series. For most OECD countries the bulk of the spectral mass is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005126132
A controversial result of some current research on the real business cycles is the claim that a common stochastic trend … that many other forces have been relatively unimportant over historical business cycles(including the monetary and fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412719
institutional factors, one may expect convergence across business cycles. When these have similar characteristics as seasonal cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005660879
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265987
This study investigates changes in the relationship between oil prices and the US economy from a long-term perspective. Although neither of the two series (oil price and GDP growth rates) presents structural breaks in mean, we identify different volatility periods in both of them, separately....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755344
This paper explores the role of oil for the Kazakh economy. In order to assess thedegree of volatility the oil price features, it, firstly, discusses the literature on oil price behaviour. Secondly, it analyzes the effect of oil price declines on key macroeconomicvariables such as real GDP,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312197
This paper is concerned with the apparent change in the U.S. oil price-macroeconomy relationship. It is investigated to what extent this change can be accounted for by the large oil price surges witnessed in the 1970s. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857164
This paper investigates the effect of oil price uncertainty on real economic activity using a quarterly VAR with stochastic volatility in mean. Stochastic volatility allows oil price uncertainty to vary separately from changes in the level of oil prices, and thus the impact of oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728133