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A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of t by Importance Sampling and Expectation Maximization …, we introduce a permutation-augmented MitISEM approach, for importance sampling from posterior distributions in mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325702
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … between target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of <I>t</I> by Importance Sampling and Expectation …, we introduce a permutation-augmented MitISEM approach, for importance sampling from posterior distributions in mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256336
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … between target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of <I>t</I> by Importance Sampling and Expectation …, we introduce a permutation-augmented MitISEM approach, for importance sampling from posterior distributions in mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838540
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … between target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of t by Importance Sampling and Expectation … Importance Sampling (IS) or the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) method. We also introduce three extensions of the basic MitISEM approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326223
A class of adaptive sampling methods is introduced for efficient posterior and predictive simulation. The proposed … between target and mixture is minimized. We label this approach Mixture of t by Importance Sampling and Expectation …, we introduce a permutation-augmented MitISEM approach, for importance sampling from posterior distributions in mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131624
This paper presents the R-package MitISEM (mixture of t by importance sampling weighted expectation maximization) which … mixture of Student-t densities is fitted to the target using an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm where each step of the … optimization procedure is weighted using importance sampling. In the second stage this mixture density is a candidate density for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010504035
in a Bayesian framework. This consists of a new adaptive importance sampling method for Quantile Estimation via Rapid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377096
used in importance sampling for model estimation, model selection and model combination. The procedure is fully automatic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380465
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756308
Accurate prediction of risk measures such as Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) requires precise estimation of the tail of the predictive distribution. Two novel concepts are introduced that offer a specific focus on this part of the predictive density: the censored posterior, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064150