Showing 11 - 20 of 53
In this paper, we document the importance of memory in machine learning (ML)-based models relying on firm characteristics for asset pricing. We come to three empirical conclusions. First, the pure out-of-sample fit of the models is often poor: we find that most R^2 measures are negative,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835546
This paper quantifies the impact of stock-specific news sentiment on future financial returns. Predictive regressions yield significant t-statistics for 7% at most of our sample of more than one thousand large stocks listed in the US. While a few assets do run through pockets of predictability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898147
The aim of this paper is to investigate model risk aspects of variance swaps and forward start options in a realistic market setup where the underlying asset price process exhibits stochastic volatility and jumps. We devise a general framework in order to provide evidence of the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006121
We show that the introduction of a leverage constraint improves the practical implementation of characteristics-based portfolios. The addition of the constraint leads to significantly lower transaction costs, to a reduction of negative portfolio weights, and to a decrease in volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855703
We build regression trees to determine which firm characteristics are most likely to drive future returns. Out of 30 attributes, those related to momentum appear to have, by far, the most marked impact. This prominence is verified at the sector level as well. The second order effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920528
We extend the model of Anufriev and Bottazzi (2010) to the case with many assets. We show that under the procedural equilibrium, all assets with nonzero aggregate demand must have the same price returns. Heterogeneity in price returns appears when some assets face zero demand. In this case, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934239
This article investigates the usefulness of combining traditional factors with ESG data when building optimal equity portfolios. Our contribution departs from the traditional literature by focusing on allocations designed to adjust benchmark policies. We allow compositions to be embedded in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219536
This article aims to combine factor investing and reinforcement learning (RL). The agent learns through sequential random allocations which rely on firms' characteristics. Using Dirichlet distributions as the driving policy, we derive closed forms for the policy gradients and analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222121
In this article, we link the realized accuracy of predictive panels to changes in distributions that occur between the training (in-sample) phase and the testing (out-of-sample) phase. We obtain polynomial upper bounds for the loss of accuracy between training and testing. We model covariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224578
This article aims to enhance factor investing with reinforcement learning (RL) techniques. The agent learns through sequential random allocations which rely on firms' characteristics. Using Dirichlet distributions as the driving policy, we derive closed forms for the policy gradients and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290047