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", stock-market fluctuations should Granger cause fluctuations of the unemployment rate. We performed several Granger … (2015) for U.S. data, we found that the stock market Granger causes unemployment in the short run and the long run when we … control for a deterministic trend in the unemployment rate. Results of a frequency-domain test show that, in the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011564968
and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010223077
:Q4). Long Run Granger Causality Test, Johansen's Cointegration Test (both Bivariate & Multivariate) and Vector Error … for all the macroeconomic variables. Johansen's Cointegration results suggest presence of long run equilibrium … difference in cointegration results in pre and post crisis periods except for Inflation and Interest rate, implying that global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995658
This study investigates the stock price-economic activity nexus in 12 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) by employing monthly data over the period 1981:1-2018:3. For this purpose, the study uses Granger causality in the frequency domain in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429266
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
Statistics of the People's Republic of China. Unit root, cointegration tests, vector error correction estimates, block exogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970640
stationarity at level. Johansen cointegration test result indicates that there exist a long term relationship among the select …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010435
cointegration to estimate the long-run relationship between G7 stock prices and macroeconomic variables over the last 40 years. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179569
empirical analysis. We undertake; Unit root (ADF, PP and KPSS) tests, Granger Causality test, Engle-Granger Cointegration test …-Granger residual based cointegration test suggests that there is a long-run relationship between the stock market performance and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973920
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181050