In this paper, we argue that the value addition from investing in short-term futures trading strategies is their reconcilability with unanticipated risk shocks. We perform empirical analysis on short-term and long-term CTA, i.e., trend-following, strategies and find that the exclusive...

This paper is the first to measure the profitability of day traders across volatility states. We apply a popular day trading strategy, the Opening Range Breakout strategy (ORB), on long time series of crude oil and S&P 500 futures contracts. Average returns are then calculated for each...