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Developing efective strategies to earn excess returns in the stock market is a cuttingedge topic in the feld of economics. At the same time, stock price forecasting that supports trading strategies is considered one of the most challenging tasks. Therefore, this study analyzes and extracts news...
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This paper examines to what extent the momentum spread ratio (MSR) can predict momentum profits. The momentum spread ratio as a potential proxy of investor underreaction can significantly predict the momentum, industry momentum, and residual momentum, especially after 1994, suggesting that...
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We study the stock return comovements from two different perspectives, one being trading behaviour-induced return comovements and the other volatility-induced return comovements. Following Baker and Wurglur (2006), we construct an investor sentiment index and examine whether it has relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073102
In this paper, we propose a stop-loss strategy to limit the downside risk of the well-known momentum strategy. At a stop-level of 10%, we find, with data from January 1926 to December 2013, that the maximum monthly losses of the equal- and value-weighted momentum strategies go down from -49.79%...
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We propose a novel approach to model investors' uncertainty using the conditional volatility of investors' sentiment. Working with weekly data on investor sentiment, six major U.S. stock indices, and alternative measures of uncertainty, we run various tests to validate our proposed measure. The...
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This paper investigates the dynamics of international stock return correlations between the U.S., the U.K., Germany and France. Estimated correlations are modeled in an ARDL framework to evaluate how the market-wide uncertainty in the U.S. affects international stock market comovements. Results...
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