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"This article studies the mean and the persistence of inflation in the 10 largest Latin American countries for the period 1980-2007. We find multiple shifts in the mean, with inflation in the region increasing throughout the eighties and decreasing in the nineties, thus documenting that the rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005023891
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005333777
In this paper we use multi-horizon evaluation techniques to produce monthly inflation forecasts for up to twelve months ahead. The forecasts are based on individual seasonal time series models that consider both, deterministic and stochastic seasonality, and on disaggregated Consumer Price Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008507170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005127859
This paper describes the dynamics of inflation in the Mexican economy from 1992 to 2007 using the New Phillips curve framework. The purpose is to identify key structural characteristics of the economy (structural parameters) that define the short-run dynamics of inflation. Results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005355011
Recently, much of the empirical research on money demand has been centered on the question of whether the demand for money is a stable relationship. The importance of this issue is underscored when modeling the demand for narrow money in countries such as Mexico, given that its economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005310423
We estimate wage differentials across different segments of the Mexican urban labor market. We use a panel sample of individuals which allows us to control for workers' observable and non-observable characteristics, by focusing on wage changes reported by individuals who move from one sector to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278141
This paper presents an econometric analysis of the demand for the monetary aggregate M1 for Mexico. Using cointegration techniques, we identify both a stable long-run relationship between M1 and its determinants, and a statistically sound single-equation error-correction model. Results are used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009318471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009319665
Little is known about the behavior of the term structure of interest rates in emerging markets. In this paper we study the dynamics of the term-structure of interest rates in Mexico between 2001 and 2008. We find that term-premia appears to be time-varying, and that over 99% of the total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563019