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back-testing models. We conclude by comparing in-sample and out-of-sample performances of complex volatility models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506783
Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in … forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722625
We introduce a dynamic statistical model for Skellam distributed random variables. The Skellam distribution can be obtained by taking differences between two Poisson distributed random variables. We treat cases where observations are measured over time and where possible serial correlation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253460
The three most popular univariate conditional volatility models are the generalized autoregressive conditional … models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as capturing asymmetry, which is the different effects … on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and leverage, which is the negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010405194
The three most popular univariate conditional volatility models are the generalized autoregressive conditional … models are important in estimating and forecasting volatility, as well as in capturing asymmetry, which is the different … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and purportedly in capturing leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417180
daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) and several other indices, we obtained good performance … heterogeneous autoregressive and other models of realized volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
This paper focuses on the selection and comparison of alternative non-nested volatility models. We review the … traditional in-sample methods commonly applied in the volatility framework, namely diagnostic checking procedures, information … criteria, and conditions for the existence of moments and asymptotic theory, as well as the out-of-sample model selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138206
volatility models. Our approach allows the isolation of the intrisic liquidity of any asset, and thus makes it possible to deduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943300
We study the empirical properties of realized volatility of the E-mini S&P 500 futures contract at various time scales …, ranging from a few minutes to one day. Our main finding is that intraday volatility is remarkably rough and persistent. What … is more, by further studying daily realized volatility measures of close to two thousand individual US equities, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967996