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Polls to probabilities : comparing prediction markets and opinion polls
Reade, J. James; Vaughan Williams, Leighton - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 1, pp. 336-350
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300651
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Forecasting elections
Vaughan Williams, Leighton; Reade, J. James - In: Journal of forecasting 35 (2016) 4, pp. 308-328
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580765
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The predictive power of subjective probability questions
Bresser, Jochem de; Soest, Arthur van - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748707
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A Model to Forecast Midterm House Elections
Doti, James L.; Lawandy, Fadel - 2022
factors have a significant influence on midterm election results for the House. An analysis of the regression residuals … 2022 midterm election results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082461
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Predicting a win by a small margin : the effect of graphic scaling in published polls on voters' predictions
Shalev, Edith; Peer, Eyal - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 36 (2023) 4, pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337235
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Forecasting non-incumbent presidential elections : lessons learned from the 2000 election
Sidman, Andrew H.; Mak, Maxwell; Lebo, Matthew J. - In: International journal of forecasting 24 (2008) 2, pp. 237-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764127
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Forecasting Brazilian presidential elections : solving the N problem
Turgeon, Mathieu; Renno, Lucio R. - In: International journal of forecasting 28 (2012) 4, pp. 804-812
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658314
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Comparing the forecasting accuracy of prediction markets and polls for Taiwan's presidential and mayoral elections
Tong, Zhenyuan; Chou, Tzu-chuan; Lin, Jih-wen; Lin, Hsin-yi - In: The journal of prediction markets 5 (2011) 3, pp. 1-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009412206
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Statistically Measuring 2016 Presidential Candidate Electability : Evidence from Prediction Markets
Hartley, Jonathan - 2016
of 2016 Presidential candidates using regressions that compare the general election contest and party nomination win … probability that Republicans will nominate a candidate who has little chance in the general election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992663
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Polls, Incumbency, and the President : Forecasting Gubernatorial Elections
DeSart, Jay - 2010
This paper examines an update of a gubernatorial election forecast model that was based on the DeSart and Holbrook … presidential election forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145444