We study whether asymmetric macroeconomic shocks help to explain changes in the international comovement of monthly stock returns in major industrialized countries over the period 1975-2004. Based on a time-varying parameter model, we trace out how the pattern of international comovement of...

In this paper, we used modified multivariate EGARCH-M models to assess the relation between the equity risk premium, macroeconomic risk, and inflationary expectations. To rationalise this link between equity risk premia and macroeconomic volatilities, we built our empirical study on the...

Previous studies on spillover effects in future markets have so far confined themselves to static analyses. In this study, we use a newly introduced spillover index to examine dynamic spillovers between spot and futures market volatility, volume of futures trading and open interest in the UK and...

We analyze whether the linkages between the stock markets of the NAFTA member countries (Canada, Mexico, and the United States) reflect movements in fundamentals or speculative bubbles. To this end, we estimate a state-space model to decompose the stock market indexes of the three NAFTA member...

We develop a tractable time-varying parameter model that can be used to simultaneously study variation over time and nonlinearity in the link between stock returns and exchange rate returns (exchange rate exposure). We estimate our model using monthly data for the period 1970 to 2006 for three...

Theoretical research on the determinants of business-cycle fluctuations implies that the degree of international financial integration can have important implications for the propagation of, e.g., macroeconomic policy shocks in an open economy. An important assumption underlying this research is...

We combined tests for speculative bubbles in stock markets with a cross-country regression framework to analyse whether economic and institutional variables can be identified that make speculative bubbles in stock markets more likely to occur. The list of variables that we found to have a...