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In this paper we introduce a global factor-augmented error correction model to quantify the interaction of oil price with the global economy. Global factors are constructed for global oil price and global interest rate, money, real output and inflation over 1999-2012. The global factors are...
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It is found that over 1999:1-2012:12 China's monetary expansion influences Japan through the effect of China's growth on world commodity prices, increased demand for imports, and exchange rate policy. China's monetary expansion is associated with significant increases in Japan's industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059432
This paper investigates the influence of liquidity in the major developed and major developing economies on commodity prices. Liquidity is taken to be M2. A novel finding is that unanticipated increases in the BRIC countries' liquidity is associated with significant and persistent increases in...
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Movement in China’s money supply drives the movement in world money supply over the last twenty years. Within the framework advanced by Kilian (2009) that identifies the supply and demand side factors driving oil price changes we introduce the influence of liquidity in China and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010597134