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We propose a method to extract individual firms' risk-neutral return distributions by combining options and credit default swaps (CDS). Options provide information about the central part of the distribution, and CDS anchor the left tail. Jointly, options and CDS span the intermediate part of the...
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Relying on a perspective borrowed from monetary policy announcements and introducing an econometric twist in the traditional event study analysis, we doc- ument the existence of an event risk transfer , namely a significant credit risk transmission from the sovereign to the corporate sector...
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We use BERT, an AI-based algorithm for language understanding, to decipher regulatory climate-risk disclosures and measure their impact on the credit default swap (CDS) market. Risk disclosures can either increase or decrease credit spreads, depending on whether disclosure reveals new risks or...
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This paper examines the role of accounting, market and macroeconomic information in explaining the cross-sectional variation of credit default swap spreads. The study proposes a panel FAVAR methodological approach to combine the additional predictions from a long list of accounting, market and...
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