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This paper introduces a Divisia monetary aggregate for Germany and explores its information content for the Great Recession. Divisia money and the corresponding simple sum aggregate are highly correlated in normal times but begin to diverge before the crisis. Out of sample forecast analysis and...
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We look into determinants (volatility, crises, sentiment and the U.S. ‘fear’ index) of herding using BRICS as our … crises. The U.S. ‘fear’ index has a short-lived, limited effect on CSAD/herding (during COVID only) for all countries except … China. In addition, Granger causality analysis indicates a two-way relationship between the U.S. ‘fear’ index and CSAD …
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