Showing 181 - 190 of 723,101
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411959
outcomes improve forecast accuracy. However, we present evidence from the lab indicating that single-minded, well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087080
of future events, and forecasting contests, where participants are ranked according to the accuracy of their forecasts …-order forecasting contests, even without tangible prizes, are useful tools for eliciting crowd forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959625
This paper studies a firmś optimal capital structure in an environment, where the firmś stock price serves as a public signal for its credit worthiness. In equilibrium, equity investors choose how much information to acquire privately, which induces a positive relation between the amount of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189328
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278012
under secrecy. This occurs despite subjects revealing more information under transparency than theory predicts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516456
Why do people appear to forgo information by sorting into “echo chambers”? We construct a highly tractable multi-sender, multi-receiver cheap talk game in which players choose with whom to communicate. We show that segregation into small, homogeneous groups can improve everybody’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265620
We develop a model of information exchange through communication and investigate its implications for information aggregation in large societies. An \textit{underlying state} determines payoffs from different actions. Agents decide which others to form a costly \textit{communication link} with,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011684965
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014321851
Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly explain heterogeneity in economic behaviour by education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532122