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use point forecast, we are interested in comparing whole forecasts' distributions. We are especially interested whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126463
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380344
Investors’ return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents’ mental models – their subjective understanding – of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382545
We show that mutual funds use information acquired by participating in the equity lending market to make portfolio allocation decisions. Using data from German mutual funds on their stock-level lending decisions, we find that funds lending shares are more likely to exit positions relative both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833591
Abstract I demonstrate an important tension between acquiring information and incorporating it into asset prices. As a salient case, I analyze the rise of algorithmic trading (AT), which is typically associated with improved price efficiency. Using a new measure of the information content of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936927
The collection of information necessary fordecision-making is often delegated to agents (e.g. bureaucrats,advisors, lawyers). If both the pros and cons of a decision haveto be examined, it is better to use competing agents instead of asingle agent. The reason is that two conflicting pieces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326399
I analyze a monopolistic model of quality uncertainty but with the possibility of information acquisition on the consumer side. Information is costly and its amount is chosen by the consumer. The analysis of Bayesian equilibria shows the possibility of three equilibrium classes, only one of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009793534
We study the interaction between productive investment and persuasion activities in a principal-agent setting with strategic disclosure. In an attempt to persuade the principal, the agent diverts substantial resources from productive activities to information acquisition for persuasion, even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838183
I study the optimal incentive provision in a principal–agent relationship with costly information acquisition by the agent. I emphasize that adverse selection or moral hazard is the principal's endogenous choice by inducing or deterring information acquisition. The principal designs the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960416
We study a decision process of a two-agent organization that consists of a decision-maker who selects a project and an implementer who implements and executes the selected project. Each of the decision-maker and the implementer has intrinsic and possibly divergent preferences over projects. Key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903489