Modelling the risk that a financial institution may not be able to roll over short-term borrowing at the market reference rate, we derive the dynamics of (interbank) reference term rates (e.g., LIBOR) and their spread vis-à-vis benchmarks based on overnight reference rates, e.g., rates implied...

We develop quantitative methods to support financial product analysis-redesign required by the Carbon Equivalence Principle (CEP) to achieve financial net-zero and thus carbon net-negative positions. We then apply the CEP analysis-redesign to project finance for power generation across a range...

Banks representing 40% of global banking assets are members of the Net-Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA) who commit to net-zero carbon in their portfolio impacts by roughly 2050. Here we present methods for steering their derivative portfolios based on the mitigation cost (benefit) of CO2-equivalent...

We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the quantile processes satisfy first– and second– order...

We introduce the Carbon Equivalence Principle that requires carbon-equivalent flows enabled, or caused, by a financial product to have equal status with cashflows. This reveals that existing financial products already have environmental impact and so are ESG-linked, without the need for any...

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an information-based approach to the reserving problem, we derive the...

In this paper incomplete-information models are developed for the pricing of securities in a stochastic interest rate setting. In particu- lar we consider credit-risky assets that may include random recovery upon default. The market filtration is generated by a collection of information...

In this paper we introduce a class of information-based models for the pricing of fixed-income securities. We consider a set of continuous- time information processes that describe the flow of information about market factors in a monetary economy. The nominal pricing kernel is at any given time...

The information-based asset-pricing framework of Brody, Hughston and Mac- rina (BHM) is extended to include a wider class of models for market information. In the BHM framework, each asset is associated with a collection of random cash flows. The price of the asset is the sum of the discounted...

This paper presents an axiomatic scheme for interest rate models in discrete time. We take a pricing kernel approach, which builds in the arbitrage-free property and pro- vides a link to equilibrium economics. We require that the pricing kernel be consistent with a pair of axioms, one giving the...