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The economic confidence level is expressed by managers that are active in significant economic sectors. The financial markets consider these economic confidence indicators as leading instruments that can point the direction of the real economy. The level of trust in the economy is important...
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The Local Scale Model of Shephard (1994) is a state-space model of volatility clustering similar in effect to IGARCH, but with an unobserved volatility that realistically evolves independently of the observed errors, instead of being mechanically determined by them. It has one fewer parameter to...
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