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In this study, we model realized volatility constructed from intraday high-frequency data. We explore the possibility of confusing long memory and structural breaks in the realized volatility of the following spot exchange rates: EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, and EUR/AUD. The results show...
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Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its … forecasting accuracy. Additionally, we explore the forecasting accuracy based on the squared distance of the forecast error …
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also in terms of nominal effective exchange rate forecasting …
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currencies, moneyness segments, contract maturities, forecasting horizons, and out-of-sample window lengths. The economic signi …
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In this paper, we present a novel machine learning based forecasting system of the EUR/USD exchange rate directional …
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