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closely related to the harshness of fiscal austerity. Cumulative multiplier estimates are found to vary in a range from 1.4 to … the euro crisis. It presents new econometric estimates on the link between cumulative GDP growth and fiscal austerity … 2.1, depending on the data source used to identify the intensity of fiscal consolidation. Given these multiplier values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778844
ordering these consolidation strategies by multiplier size or their welfare consequences leads to very different rankings. With …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486056
generate optimal policies that resemble "austerity" measures. Optimal policy prescribes front-loaded fiscal consolidations and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446558
This paper provides evidence that austerity shocks have long-run negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the … reweighting in a local projections setup to account for the potential endogeneity of austerity policies and the non-linearity of … contractions larger than 3%. Evidence is also found linking austerity with smaller capital stock in the long-run. The results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014229776
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856496
Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917733
austerity may arrive just in time to deal with looming debts, and suggest that more work to understand the mechanisms behind …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311084
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375
After a brief introduction dealing with critical opinions of some economists on the European austerity policy, the … authors point out that austerity as a means of achieving fiscal consolidation and financial stability is applied when the … fiscal domain is weak. After analyzing the effects of the 2009 crisis on some indicators and austerity measures taken by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536864