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tend to have positive effects on output in Italy. The fiscal multiplier, which is maximized at the one year horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924294
We study fiscal spending multipliers of the UK economy using a time-varying parameter factor augmented vector autoregressive (TVP-FAVAR) model. We show that government spending multipliers vary over time and that most of the variation is cyclical: multipliers are typically above one in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932638
We estimate the fiscal (spending) multiplier using quarterly U.S. data, 1986-2017. We define government spending shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191269
accounts. We estimate the local fiscal multiplier on output to be 1.7 at the regional level. The regional fiscal multiplier … and small in size. We decompose the regional fiscal multiplier on output into multipliers on expenditure components. The … regional fiscal multiplier on absorption exceeds 2.0 because of the crowding-in effect on consumption and investment. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012109875
At a time when Algeria must undertake considerable fiscal consolidation to restore sustainability, the issueof fiscal multipliers has come to the fore. This paper estimates short-term and long-term fiscal multipliersfor Algeria applying several econometric methodologies, including Local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913901
Many countries have deployed substantial fiscal packages to cushion the economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. A historical look at past pandemics and epidemics highlights concomitant public sector support in response to health crises. This paper assesses how fiscal multipliers could vary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079424
This paper investigates the role of informality in affecting the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier in a panel of 141 … size of the fiscal multiplier. This result holds irrespective of the levels of economic development and institutional …. Thus, informality raises the size of the unofficial multiplier. A higher degree of non-separability between public and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083505
To accurately quantify the effects of government spending, it is necessary to identify exogenous changes in government spending. In this paper, we estimate a proxy VAR, developed by Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), using a revised supplementary budget from the government as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013301185
The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between government spending and private consumption in the UK, for which there is scarce previous empirical evidence. We disaggregate public expenditure into three categories and search for the corresponding private consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011737944
We re-examin the notion of identifying macroeconomic effects using the narrative approach taking as an application the estimation of tax multipliers. We point out to a test for the checking the adequacy of regressing the narrative measure directly on the outcome variable. This test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484325