Kaum eine Entwicklung hat in den letzten Jahrzehnten den Strukturwandel, die Konjunkturverläufe, das wirtschaftliche Wachstum und die weltwirtschaftliche Integration so beeinflußt, wie die massive Expansion der Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien, d.h. der sogenannten Neuen Ökonomie....

While the long run relation between money and inflation is well established, empirical evidence on the adjustment to the long run equilibrium is very heterogeneous. In the present paper we use a multivariate state space framework, that substantially expands the traditional vector error...

The signals approach as an early warning system has been fairly successful in detecting crises, but it has so far failed to gain popularity in the scientific community because it does not distinguish between randomly achieved in-sample fit and true predictive power. To overcome this obstacle, we...