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This study uses cointegration, and innovation accounting analysis to examine the volatility and extent of the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963660
This study examines business cycle fluctuations in selected Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. The study measures the impact of selected real shocks, namely: terms of trade shocks, commodity price shocks, and government spending shocks, on macroeconomic fluctuations in SSA. The impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668468
after 2010. The DSGE results suggest that although an oil price shock generates appreciation and initially output falls …. The SVAR results for Ghana when exporting suggest an initial depreciation in response to an oil price shock, with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177185
Structural innovations in multivariate dynamic systems are typically hidden and often identified by means of a …-priori economic reasoning. Under multivariate Gaussian model innovations there is no loss measure available to distinguish alternative … Gaussian framework of independent innovations, a loss statistic is proposed in this paper that allows to discriminate between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010355109
The perception that inflation dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) are driven by supply shocks implies a limited role for monetary policy in influencing inflation in the short run. SSA's rapid growth, its integration with the global economy, changes in the policy frameworks, among others, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015595
We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world. Our main results are as follows: (i) African economies stand out by their macroeconomic volatility, which is is reflected in the volatility of output and other macro variables; (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864121
A central question for monetary policy is how asset prices respond to a monetary policy shock. We provide evidence on … restrictions. The impulse responses show a positive asset price response to a contractionary monetary policy shock. The resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563120
We propose a statistical identification procedure for structural vector autoregressive (VAR) models that present a nonlinear dependence (at least) at the contemporaneous level. By applying and adapting results from the literature on causal discovery with continuous additive noise models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013548855
While global studies on drivers of economic growth are useful to derive global tendencies, a more insightful analysis that leads to explicit policy implications is possible when investigating smaller entities. In this study, we focus on a panel of 40 African countries located in the Sub-Saharan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459904
The sources of macroeconomic fluctuations in sub-Saharan African are examined by comparing the CFA franc countries with the non-CFA franc countries. External shocks, especially terms of trade shocks, appear to have a greater influence on fluctuations of output and the real exchange rate in CFA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782247