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Part of the present inflation is caused by the breakdown of globalization, in particular supply chains, part is caused by the Corona Pandemic, in particular lockdowns, part is caused by the Ukrainian War, part is caused by European sanctions, and part - and not the smallest one - is caused by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553631
A key issue in the renewal of the inflation-control agreement is the question of the appropriate level of the inflation target. Many observers have raised concerns that with the reduction in the neutral rate, and the experience of the recent financial crisis, the effective lower bound (ELB) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384127
We measure soft information contained in the congressional testimonies of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairs and analyze its effect on financial markets. Our measures of Fed Chairs' emotions expressed in words, voice and facial expressions are created using machine learning. Increases in the Chair's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189228
predicts that, the more time has elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility should increase … more important role in aligning agents' information set, thus leading to a stronger volatility reduction. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963731
predicts that, the more time has elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility should increase … more important role in aligning agents' information set, thus leading to a stronger volatility reduction. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131218
predicts that, the more time has elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility should increase … more important role in aligning agents' information set, thus leading to a stronger volatility reduction. The empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157672
This paper investigates, for the first time, the reactions of markets to the monetary policy decisions of their own Central Bank and to the decisions of the Central Banks of other countries. In particular, using daily interest rates to estimate the impact of the monetary policy announcements of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070608
market commentary based on these statements has a significant effect on the volatility or level of returns in a short …-term BAX market volatility. In contrast, discussions of oil prices, the Canadian dollar, the inflation projection and whether … the economy is at capacity, and certain forward looking statements significantly increased volatility. Market news stories …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009504648
We quantify the informational content of statements issued by the interest-rate setting committee of the Central Bank of Brazil (COPOM), building on the methodology developed by Lucca and Trebbi (2011). Using Google search queries, we measure the extent to which each COPOM statement is perceived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199541
On 16th November 2009, SUERF, CEPS and the Belgian Financial Forum coorganized a conference "Crisis management at cross-roads" in Brussels. All papers in the present volume are based on contributions at the conference and the SUERF Annual Lecture which followed the event.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011706117