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A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the...
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The performance of information criteria and tests for residual heteroskedasticity for choosing between different models for time-varying volatility in the context of structural vector autoregressive analysis is investigated. Although it can be difficult to find the true volatility model with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669909
Long-run restrictions have been used extensively for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Such restrictions are typically justidentifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have been...
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only daily financial market data and policy events. First, we combine a heteroscedasticity-based identification scheme with … approach to examine the causal effects of US monetary policy on the exchange rate. The heteroscedasticity-based monetary policy …
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We propose a Bayesian infinite hidden Markov model to estimate time- varying parameters in a vector autoregressive model. The Markov structure allows for heterogeneity over time while accounting for state-persistence. By modelling the transition distribution as a Dirichlet process mixture model,...
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