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regressors. This paper shows that this often does not occur if the regression suffers from simultaneity or omitted variable bias … test for the presence of simultaneity or omitted variable bias, important and intractable problems in many disciplines. The …. Simultaneity or omitted variable bias is indicated if t-ratios and coefficients undergo these trends with more collinearity. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308808
In practice structural equations are often estimated by least-squares, thus neglecting any simultaneity. This paper reveals why this may often be justifiable and when. Assuming data stationarity and existence of the first four moments of the disturbances we find the limiting distribution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349723
Karl Pearson developed the correlation coefficient r(X,Y) in 1890's. Vinod (2014) develops new generalized correlation coefficients so that when r*(Y|X) r*(X|Y) then X is the "kernel cause" of Y. Vinod (2015a) argues that kernel causality amounts to model selection between two kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991829
We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation and causality assessment in epidemiological models. The key to our approach is the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods to evaluate the likelihood of a generic epidemiological model. Once we have the likelihood, we specify priors and rely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235115
We present a general framework for Bayesian estimation and causality assessment in epidemiological models. The key to our approach is the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods to evaluate the likelihood of a generic epidemiological model. Once we have the likelihood, we specify priors and rely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012494833
A specific concept of structural model is used as a background for discussing the structurality of its parameterization. Conditions for a structural model to be also causal are examined. Difficulties and pitfalls arising from the parameterization are analyzed. In particular, pitfalls when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011713803
This paper examines the econometric causal model for policy analysis developed by the seminal ideas of Ragnar Frisch and Trygve Haavelmo. We compare the econometric causal model with two popular causal frameworks: Neyman-Holland causal model and the do-calculus. The Neyman-Holland causal model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886838
This chapter uses the marginal treatment effect (MTE) to unify and organize the econometric literature on the evaluation of social programs. The marginal treatment effect is a choice-theoretic parameter that can be interpreted as a willingness to pay parameter for persons at a margin of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024944
effect having an opposite sign from the true effect. We present an expression for the asymptotic bias of both OLS and IV … estimators and discuss the conditions under which sign reversal may occur. We provide a method for eliminating this bias when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820585
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316798