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We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295246
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295693
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
that ERPT changes with the kind of shock and the monetary policy response to it. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020009
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-robust approach is proposed to construct estimation and inference. Thirdly, this paper suggests a procedure to derive theory … the FEVD tend to remove unreasonable implications, increase estimation precision, sharpen and also alter the inference of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037315
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We show that the contemporaneous and longer horizon impulse responses estimated using small-scale Proxy structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) can be severely biased in the presence of information insufficiency. Instead, we recommend the use of a Proxy Factor Augmented VAR (FAVAR) model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121977
financial variables changes the model dynamics and delivers price responses which are more in line with economic theory. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125244
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