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This paper summarizes recent developments in non- and semiparametric regression with stationary fractional time series errors, where the error process may be short-range, long-range dependent or antipersistent. The trend function in this model is estimated nonparametrically, while the dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544974
Time series in many areas of application often display local or global trends. Typical models that provide statistical explanations of such trends are, for example, polynomial regression, smooth bounded trends that are estimated nonparametrically, and difference-stationary processes such as, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543808
In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. For selecting the bandwidth, the proposal of Beran and Feng (1999) based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543365
Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783567
Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544323
the derivation of the asymptotic normality of ĝ (v). At first a central limit theorem based on martingale theory is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544427
We investigate the behavior of nonparametric kernel M-estimators in the presence of long-memory errors. The optimal bandwidth and a central limit theorem are obtained. It turns out that in the Gaussian case all kernel M-estimators have the same limiting normal distribution. The motivation behind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544721
We investigate the behavior of nonparametric kernel M-estimators in the presence of long-memory errors. The optimal bandwidth and a central limit theorem are obtained. It turns out that in the Gaussian case all kernel M-estimators have the same limiting normal distribution. The motivation behind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009783004
Forecast combination has been proven to be a very important technique to obtain accurate predictions for various applications in economics, finance, marketing and many other areas. In many applications, forecast errors exhibit heavy-tailed behaviors for various reasons. Unfortunately, to our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411497
This paper considers estimation of the regression function and its derivatives in nonparametric regression with fractional time series errors. We focus on investigating the properties of a kernel dependent function V (delta) in the asymptotic variance and finding closed form formula of it, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002527874