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High uncertainty is an inherent implication of the zero lower bound, while deflation is not because of inflationary pressure due to uncertainty about how debt will be stabilized. We show that policy uncertainty empirically accounts for the absence of deflation in the US economy. Announcing...
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We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
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with the restriction that interest rates can not fall below zero. Then optimal monetary policy in a low inflation … although most central banks nowadays use an inflation target instead. Reasons for an inflation target will be shown in the … discussion of the model. The second part of the book describes the inflation dynamics in the euro area to see what monetary …
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The demographic transition can affect the equilibrium real interest rate through three channels. An increase in longevity - or expectations thereof - puts downward pressure on the real interest rate, as agents build up their savings in anticipation of a longer retirement period. A reduction in...
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Post Keynesian stagnation theory argues that slower population growth dampens consumption and investment. A New …
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