Cieślak, Anna; Li, Wenhao; Pflueger, Carolin E. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Using a century of data, we show that Treasury convenience yield and inflation comove positively during the … inflationary 1970s-1980s, but negatively pre-WWII and post-2000. An inflation decomposition reveals that higher supply inflation … predicts higher convenience, while lower demand inflation follows higher convenience. In our model, inflationary cost …