Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) offer a robust yet intuitive framework to deal with uncertainty and complexity and have been effectively applied to diverse problems across multiple domains. While the majority of work has focused on cross-sectional data, there has been a recent increase of...

This paper studies the nature of volatility spillovers across countries from the per-spective of network theory and by relying on data of US-listed ETFs. I use a Lasso-related technique to estimate the International Volatility Network (IVN) where the nodes correspond to large-cap international...

This paper quantifies the rising global dynamic, interconnected relationship between energy and water commodities. Over the last decade, increased international concern has emerged about the water-energy nexus. However, recent research still lacks a quantified understanding of the role of water...

This paper studies the nature of volatility spillovers across countries from the perspective of network theory and by relying on data of US-listed ETFs. I use a Lasso-related technique to estimate the International Volatility Network (IVN) where the nodes correspond to large-cap international...

The author presents a geospatial analysis of the Peru-Chile Trench located in the South Pacific Ocean by the Generic Mapping Tool (GMT) scripting toolset used to process and model data sets. The study goal is to perform geomorphological modelling by the comparison of two segments of the trench...

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used to model the VIX (the Cboe Volatility Index). A 4- state Gaussian mixture is fitted to the VIX price history from 1990 to 2022. Using a growing window of training data, the price of the S&P500 is predicted and two trading algorithms are presented, based on the...

This paper presents a new approach to look at equity market valuations. The paper formulates a derivative of three valuation based ratios widely used by investors and fund managers. The derivative “Equity Market Valuation Index” converts valuation ratios in to an index that rages between...

Nonstationary time series arising from autoregressice models with roots on or near the unit circle have been an intensive subject of econometric reseach during the last twenty years. Heikki Kauppi's doctoral dissertation deals with several topics in the area of theoretical econometrics of...

A consistent estimator for the spectral density of a stationary random process can be obtained by smoothing the periodigrams across frequency. An important component of smoothing is the choice of the span. In this paper, we propose a span selector originally developed for use in fitting...