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We study the recent Crimean Crisis and the sequence of outcomes that led to the intervention by the Russian Army, which directly affected equity prices in Russia, to investigate how informed traders may have used their advantage to trade prior to the moment markets fell. We compute the...
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Risikovermeidung scheint aktuell das Patentrezept für die Lösung all unserer Probleme zu sein. Zentralbanken ertränken die Gefahren unseres Wirtschafts- und Bankensystems mit Unmengen an Geld, und auch die Politik versucht, gesellschaftliche Missstände mit grosszügigen Geschenken unter den...
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standard deviation of individual forecasts around the median Consensus Forecast as proxy for forecast uncertainty. Our sample … react significantly to inflation forecast uncertainty by reducing their policy rates in times of higher inflation … forecast uncertainty. We conclude with some implications for optimal monetary policy rules and central bank watchers. …
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