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This paper identifies and characterizes episodes of structural change in the 27 years that preceded the Great Recession. This is done by performing Bai-Perron (2003a, 2003b) tests on 61,843 time series that span 34 countries, which collectively accounted for 81% of Gross World Product in 2013....
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"The accessible roadmap to navigating an unpredictable economic earthquake. People are worried about their financial future. The workforce is aging, meaning slower economic growth. Debt is going through the roof, both public and private. Automation and technological revolution are putting people...
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This paper reconsiders the role of macroeconomic shocks and policies in determining the Great Recession and the subsequent recovery in the US. The Great Recession was mainly caused by a large demand shock and by the ZLB on the interest rate policy. In contrast with previous findings, the...
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