This paper examines the determinants of long-term bond yields through a panel data analysis of forward rates in 10 developed countries. We confirm that in addition to inflation expectations and the labor productivity growth rate, which influences the natural rate of interest, fiscal conditions,...

Lower-interest-rate currencies tend to depreciate relative to higher-interest-rate currencies. This observation is inconsistent with a popular theory, uncovered interest parity (UIP). According to market participants' views, this is caused by the carry-trade activities in a low-volatility...