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This article re-examines the series of (exogenous) Federal Funds Rate (FFR) shocks created by Romer and Romer (2004) for the period 1969:01--1996:12. We hypothesize that if Romer and Romer have constructed a reasonable set of monetary policy shocks, then including them in a small Vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010618974
Taylor (1979) posited that a central bank faces a tradeoff between the volatility of the output gap and volatility of inflation; this trade-off has become known as the Taylor curve. Thus, the Taylor curve necessitates that the correlation between the volatilities of inflation and the output gap...
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This paper examines the relationship between the energy and equity markets by estimating volatility impulse response functions from a multivariate BEKK model of the Goldman Sach's Energy Index and the S&P 500; in addition, we also calculate the time varying conditional correlations and time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011100076
Using a new uncertainty index from Baker et al. (2012), we evaluate the time-varying correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty, inflation, and output. Estimation results from a multivariate DCC-GARCH model reveal that the sign of the correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041676
Using recently published tax series by Romer and Romer (2010) and Cloyne (2013) we examine whether or not positive and negative tax shocks have asymmetric effects on the U.S. and U.K. economies. We find that in the U.S. positive tax shocks—tax increases—do not affect output while negative...
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