It is broadly accepted that two aspects regarding the modeling strategy are essential for the accuracy of forecast: a … long run trend which could be used to implement cointegration. Accounting for spatial dependence improves the forecast … Indikatoren tragen bei Berücksichtigung in einem GVAR zu einer genaueren Prognose im Vergleich zu einem GVAR ohne Indikator bei. …

quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden …. Our results show that we can significantly increase forecast accuracy compared to an autoregressive benchmark model, both …

We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … indicators. We show that the best set of predictors, within and between categories, changes over time and depends on the forecast …

avenue to measure and forecast regional economic activity. …

Business Climate and also delivers a multitude of further indicators to forecast several important economic variables. This …

Genauigkeit der Prognose mit eindimensionalen Zeitreihenmethoden vergleicht, zeigt sich, dass das räumliche Modell bessere oder … normalerweise eingesetzten Methoden für die regionale Prognose, die regionale Interdependenzen unberücksichtigt lassen. -- Labour …

Rational respondents to economic surveys may report as a point forecast any measure of the central tendency of their … tests of forecast rationality when the measure of central tendency used by the respondent is unknown. We overcome an …