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This paper presents an expository development of Bayesian estimation with substantial emphasis on exact results for the … estimation, admissibility and minimaxity. In this chapter, we attempt to give a coherent presentation of numerous Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058555
simulated data, we show that our approach works successfully for three issues that one encounters during the estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431876
them in the inferential process. A general procedure for introducing skewness into symmetric distributions is first … improper priors is quite limited. Applying this skewness procedure to a Student-t distribution, we generate a "skewed Student …" distribution, which displays both flexible tails and possible skewness, each entirely controlled by a separate scalar parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438503
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for conducting inference on probabilistic surveys. We use this approach to study whether U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters density projections for output growth and inflation are consistent with the noisy rational expectations hypothesis. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080529
The degree of empirical support of a priori plausible structures on the cointegration vectors has a central role in the analysis of cointegration. Villani (2000) and Strachan and van Dijk (2003) have recently proposed finite sample Bayesian procedures to calculate the posterior probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584700
LeSage and Pace (2009) consider the impact of omitted variables in the face of spatial dependence in the disturbance process of a linear regression relationship. Remarkably, they show that this can lead to a spatial regression model specification containing a spatial lag of the dependent and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097958
Many statistical and econometric learning methods rely on Bayesian ideas, often applied or reinterpreted in a frequentist setting. Two leading examples are shrinkage estimators and model averaging estimators, such as weighted-average least squares (WALS). In many instances, the accuracy of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839923
Many statistical and econometric learning methods rely on Bayesian ideas, often applied or reinterpreted in a frequentist setting. Two leading examples are shrinkage estimators and model averaging estimators, such as weighted-average least squares (WALS). In many instances, the accuracy of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176861
We ask whether Bayesian estimation creates a potential estimation bias as compared with standard estimation techniques … based on the data, such as maximum likelihood or indirect estimation. We investigate this with a Monte Carlo experiment in … alternative. The Bayesian estimation of macro models may thus give very misleading results by placing too much weight on prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624789