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Current models for predicting volatility do not incorporate information flow and are solely based on historical … predictor of its stock volatility. The results show that future stock volatility is better predicted by our method than the … flow or as an active source for new information influencing future volatility. Our data suggest that semantic content may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074889
Margin regulation raises two policy concerns. First, an alignment of margins to volatility can amplify procyclicality … following volatility spikes but does not immediately lower margins following volatility declines, implying that margin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075125
return and volatility than their non-Shariah compliant counterparts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011076302
In this paper we analyze the role of the relationship between investment and finance as the main source of both financial instability and business cycle fluctuations. By building an agent-based model, our aim is to explicitly consider the complex nature of credit markets as strongly interactive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077052
, switching and herding all contribute to market volatility in price and return and to volatility clustering, their impacts are … increase in switching intensity reduces the return volatility and in particular a low switching intensity reduces the price … volatility and increases the level of the significant ACs, but the effect becomes opposite when the switching intensity is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077524
The literature has shown that the volatility of Stock and Forex rate market returns shows the characteristic of long … memory. Another fact that is shown in the literature is that this feature may be spurious and volatility actually consists of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011079222
which the price and the volatility are the main variables used by the function EVaR. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011079625
In this work we focus on the application of wavelet-based methods in volatility modeling. We introduce a new, wavelet …-based estimator (wavelet Whittle estimator) of a FIEGARCH model, ARCH-family model capturing long-memory and asymmetry in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093858
Brazil has the largest stock market in South America; Argentina has one of the smallest. We investigate the spread relationship between these two markets, measured as the ratio of Brazil's Bovespa index to Argentina's Merval index. Using rescaled range analysis, we identify the presence of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094380
individual effects on economic growth and volatility using the power-ARCH framework with annual data since the 1890s. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095511