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The sum of squared intraday returns provides an unbiased and almost error-free measure of ex-post volatility. In this … paper we develop a nonlinear Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model for realized volatility …, which accommodates level shifts, day-of-the-week effects, leverage effects and volatility level effects. Applying the model …
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conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic volatility process. We develop a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood method to obtain … varying size. Based on the new modelling framework and the associated estimation technique, we find remarkable changes in the … variance, in the order of integration, in the short memory characteristics and in the volatility of volatility. …
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innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future …
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In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
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