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Despite momentum's strong historical performance, its returns have large negative skewness and occasionally experiences persistent strings of sharp negative returns, referred as "momentum crashes" in the recent literature. I argue that momentum crashes are due to crowded trades which push prices...
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We develop a model of limit order trading in which some traders have better information on future price volatility. As … visible. In either design, a large (resp. small) spread signals that informed limit order traders expect volatility to be high … significantly. Consistent with our model, we also find that the size of the spread is a predictor of future price volatility and …
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