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Forecasting
Graefe, Andreas - 2015
"forecast," "prediction," "projections," and "prognosis" are interchangeable as commonly used. Forecasting is also concerned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037640
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Do forecasters really care about consensus?
Goldstein, Nathan; Zilberfarb, Ben-Zion - In: Economic modelling 100 (2021), pp. 1-20
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795971
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Real-time forecasting in a data-rich environment
Liebermann, Joe͏̈lle - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010219898
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Expectations and Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys
Zarnowitz, Victor - 1982
and autocorrelation of error. The marginal forecast errors tend to increase, and the correlations between predictions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478266
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Evaluating the efficiency of the FOMC's new economic projections
Arai, Natsuki - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 48 (2016) 5, pp. 1019-1049
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011615666
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Anomalies in macroeconomic prediction errors-evidence from Chilean private forecasters
Pedersen, Michael - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 3, pp. 1100-1107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305229
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Some observations on forecasting and policy
Wright, Jonathan H. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 3, pp. 1186-1192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305245
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DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery
Cai, Michael; Del Negro, Marco; Giannoni, Marc Paolo; … - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1770-1789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305528
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The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations
Hagenhoff, Tim; Lustenhouwer, Joep - 2020
lagged consensus forecast about the period being forecast. We find that all three biases are present in the Survey of … forecast to form expectations is a reasonable thing to do if a forecaster is not able to come up with fully rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309179
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Global economy : slow recovery following deep recession
Michelsen, Claus; Baldi, Guido; Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 10 (2020) 37, pp. 390-392
increase markedly. DIW Berlin calculates that global produc- tion will shrink by 4.0 percent in 2020. During the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291931