Showing 21 - 30 of 43,847
, which leads to a recursive structure for utility, to 'rectangular' sets of priors and to prior-by-prior Bayesian updating as … the updating rule for such sets of priors. It is argued that dynamic consitency is intuitive in a wide range of situations … and that the model is consistent with a rich set of possibilities for dynamic behavior under ambiguity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808194
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in … subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of … and determining factors. This paper investigates the role of beliefs in the form of ambiguity perception - the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330060
Before choosing her action to match the state of the world, an agent observes a stream of messages generated by some unknown binary signal. The agent can either learn the underlying signal for free and update her belief accordingly or ignore the observed message and keep her prior belief. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517426
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in … subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of … and determining factors. This paper investigates the role of beliefs in the form of ambiguity perception - the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013163191
Before choosing her action to match the state of the world, an agent observes a stream of messages generated by some unknown binary signal. The agent can either learn the underlying signal for free and update her belief accordingly or ignore the observed message and keep her prior belief. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014511689
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616777
For choice with deterministic consequences, the standard rationality hypothesis is ordinality, i.e., maximization of a weak preference ordering. For choice under risk (resp. uncertainty), preferences are assumed to be represented by the objectively (resp. subjectively) expected value of a von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025530
compositions are identical. We identify choices that reveal an aversion to ambiguity about the relation between urns, thus … identifying a source of uncertainty different from the usual Knightian distinction between risk and ambiguity. Behavior is studied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011106061
maker future beliefs. Several updating rules have been proposed in the literature. We derive them from a general approach … based on conditional Choquet expectations. Conversely, depending on the updating rule adopted, the conditional Choquet …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004987984
between the set of relevant measures, shown by KMS [21] to reflect only perceived ambiguity, and the set of measures (which we … perceived ambiguity. Regarding symmetry assumptions, we show that, under relatively mild conditions, a variety of preference … stringent. Only when it is satisfied may the Bewley set be interpreted as reflecting only perceived ambiguity and not also taste …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927996