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Wohnimmobilien in Großstädten : Kaufpreise steigen auch 2014 schneller als Mieten
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 80 (2013) 49, pp. 23-31
Die Kaufpreise für Eigentumswohnungen sind seit Beginn des Jahres 2010 um durchschnittlich sechs Prozent gegenüber dem jeweiligen Vorjahresquartal gestiegen. Die Wachstumsraten der Mietpreise haben mit vier Prozent deutlich weniger zugenommen, liegen aber ebenfalls oberhalb der allgemeinen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221703
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Wohnimmobilien in Großstädten: Kaufpreise steigen auch 2014 schneller als Mieten
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: DIW Wochenbericht 80 (2013) 49, pp. 23-31
Since 2010, housing prices in Germany have been growing on average by 6 percent a year. During the same period, the rents have been increasing by 4 percent, which is significantly slower than the housing prices, but substantially faster than the consumer prices. This is one of the results of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128549
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Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128875
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Forecasting the prices and rents for flats in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Mense, Andreas - 2012
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both … ; forecasting ; dynamic panel model ; spatial autocorrelation ; German cities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579231
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Speculative price bubbles in urban housing markets in Germany
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Michelsen, Claus; … - 2014
The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010438012
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Think national, forecast local : a case study of 71 German urban housing markets
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2015
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to … different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No … surveys. We also find that combinations of individual forecasts are consistently selected among the top forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482020
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Think National, Forecast Local : A Case Study of 71 German Urban Housing Markets
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - 2015
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 145 indicators and ten types of forecast combination schemes to … different predictors is tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No … surveys. We also find that combinations of individual forecasts are consistently selected among the top forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027815
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Speculative Price Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - 2014
The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044585
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No Germany-wide housing bubble but overvaluation in regional markets and segments
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Michelsen, Claus - In: DIW economic bulletin 7 (2017) 25/26, pp. 255-264
Although the housing prices in the 127 largest German cities have surged strongly in recent years, there is still no sign of a Germanywide housing bubble. In comparison with 2009, the price of condominiums has risen by around 55 percent. Single-family houses cost between 38 and 45 percent more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669510
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Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2015
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014148833