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In the context of the transition to a low-carbon economy, the creditworthiness of banks' corporate debtors may deteriorate due to a dual effect. First, the macro-financial environment may change due to coercive regulations and the resulting unavoidable higher investment costs, which indirectly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355338
What can explain the long-term decline in equilibrium real interest rates? We analyze the importance of three of the most cited drivers; decreasing fertility, decreasing mortality, and a slowdown of technological growth. We do this through the lens of a general-equilibrium, two-country,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231838
Understanding the pattern of stock market volatility is important to investors as well as for investment policy. Volatility is directly associated with risks and returns, higher the volatility the more financial market is unstable. The volatility of the Zimbabwean stock market is modeled using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868676
We examine the ability of auto industry stock returns to forecast quarterly changes in the growth rates of real GDP, consumption, and investment. We find that auto stock returns are superior toaggregate stock market returns in predicting growth rates of GDP and various forms of consumption. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012708334
This paper assesses the links between money, credit, house prices, and economic activity in industrialized countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel vector autoregression, estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758999
This study develops an empirical framework for assessment of effects of inflows of foreign capital on monetary equilibriums in countries that operate hybrid exchange rate regimes. Empirical findings obtained using the framework demonstrate "distortions" to inflows of Foreign Direct Investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937782
Goodhart and Hoffman aim to examine causal and other links between house prices, liquidity, and activity, and this note comments on their results. One part of the mechanism is via wealth-but arguably house-price changes have little net impact on wealth, although there are collateral effects. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759001
This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316547
The argument made in this manuscript is that the two traditional macroeconomic tools, fiscal policy and monetary policy, are insufficient to bring back efficiently into equilibrium an economy that has had a major crisis. Both traditional macro-tools only work through the demand side, and there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214329
We analyse the effects of interest rate variations on the rates of capacity utilisation, capital accumulation and profit in a simple post-Kaleckian distribution and growth model. This model gives rise to different potential accumulation regimes depending on the values of the parameters in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218828